Thank You For Playing

Carry on, nothing to see here.

Please, no loud crying.

Gentle sobbing appropriate.

Manifest Volcker

I've said this before and not at all lived up to it, but no more posts on finance/ the economy.

Done.

I've warned everyone like ten times in the last month, do not buy US stocks or mutual funds even if you have a 100 year time horizon.

And do not hold US dollars either. You will be engulfed in flames as your portfolio will be incinerated and the dollar collapses.

So that's it! Closed. No more negative posts, I am delighting in the chaos to be televised this Fall. I hope you are as well.

I am also done crushing Obama. He can still turn it around, he is smart enough. I believe he is re-appointing Bernanke such that the captain can be onboard for the final iceberg.

He will reverse course soon enough, probably before the end of the year and dismantle his entire econ team post dollar crisis.

The really-not-that-smart Repubs will sweep in 2010, but they will F it up almost immediately with some xenophobic, culturally conservative idiocy, and be re-swept back out in 2012.

Barry will be re-elected to term 2 having fired his economic generals like Lincoln did his army captains.

Volcker will take over at age 100 and that is when you can get long US stocks again.

All is well. It's all vibration anyway. As Abraham Hicks says, become a vibrational match to that which you want. You will never attract what you want by focusing on the lack of it.

Become a vibrational match to Volcker.

Manifest Volcker.

Clunker Please Don't Go

We will look back at the Cash For Clunkers Era as the brief utopia before we were engulfed in flames.

Future history books will read as follows (in Mandarin):

Cash For Clunkers was a massive handout to the failing US car industry and lazy Americans that drove shit-boxes in response to Barack Obama's coddling of the US Banks.

As documented mostly in blogs of the era, the Banks (with the full backing of the Federal Reserve) successfully destroyed Capitalism while paying themselves enormous taxpayer funded bonuses.

Obama needed an opiate to dispel the notion that he was just another "Corporatist" (as coined by hard-core Republican Capitalist Frank Rich of the NYT). So he gave his obese citizens a $4500 voucher to buy a Toyota.

One of the first blogs to cover US Banker Satanism in 2007 was Yogatrader which went on to become the official blog of Communist California. Eventually the MSM caught wind of the rampant banker sociopathy. Here is right-wing extremist, Paul Krugman in the August 21, 2009 NYT:

"And then there’s the matter of the banks.

I don’t know if administration officials realize just how much damage they’ve done themselves with their kid-gloves treatment of the financial industry, just how badly the spectacle of government supported institutions paying giant bonuses is playing. But I’ve had many conversations with people who voted for Mr. Obama, yet dismiss the stimulus as a total waste of money. When I press them, it turns out that they’re really angry about the bailouts rather than the stimulus — but that’s a distinction lost on most voters."

This Banker Satanism torpedoed any chance of Obama achieving much needed US healthcare reform.

Obama lost the middle, and had to deal with death-panel crazies and 60 IQ US College graduates that wanted "government off their Medicare!"

So he doubled down on Clunkers until it ran out of money.

Of course, we all know Cash For Clunkers was the greatest fiddle performance of all time, as unbeknownst to the fiddler, Rome was completely engulfed in Dante's inferno.

And this of course is where glorious Communist China came to the rescue and saved the world.

As the second best US President of the 21rst century, Mr. Obama's legacy was complete.

Cash For Clunkers Is The New Internet!

I am looking to go deeper in debt, prop up a failing industry and ruin the environment in 3 weeks time.

So I am very excited for the Cash For Clunkers program. I hope you will share in my excitement and partake in this new economy dynamism.

This is a very popular program which speaks to it's brilliance. Our Senators are brave to pass this bill. Brave and brainy!

I know Cash for Clunkers will save us. Do not even think about denying me my fucking Clunker voucher!!

You are either with the Clunkers or you are with the Terrorists.

...At least we are going up in flames quickly.

Cash For Clunkers Will Save Us

The new economy pillar, Cash For Clunkers is the funniest economy- wrecking- scheme of all the new economy- wrecking- schemes!

Cash for Clunkers!! Just saying it makes me smile.

The Market, the S&P 500, meaning the biggest, bluest of blue chip American companies index is trading at a 700 earnings multiple.

The last time we had a multiple like this was dot.com mania Nasdaq 2000.

That ended well, I recall.

Speaking of bubbles, remember the new metrics being thrown around then, like "eyeballs" or "price to sales" ratio which eliminated the need for those companies to actually make money.

Same now, you'll hear the mainstream crazies talk about next year's "operating earnings" which equals projected earnings if we do not count all the bad stuff.

The good news is if you played ostrich-style financial management for the past 2 years and are just now able to look at your statements, you have the opportunity to extricate yourself from all US stocks at great prices.

It's conventional wisdom that the market is brutal and unfair.

That's not what I've seen however. At each pre-crash period, you had ample time to sell and get out if you were paying attention.

Subprime was in the news in 2006, you had over a year to figure out it was not "contained" per Ben Bernanke, before the first leg down, if you were curious.

Bear Stearns went down in March of 08, giving you 6 months to figure out every other investment bank was just like them, before the October crash, if you were curious.

The market gave you another shot to get out the first days of January this year, rallying because January means new beginnings!!

And here we are, August of 2009, S&P at 1000. Nothing fundamental has changed except trillions in taxpayer liability, even though the bad assets are still on the banks books, now marked to fantasy via new accounting rules.

Insiders are selling at a record clip, yet the same prognosticators who were bullish all the way down have declared victory over the Recession.

Hmmm... At the current job loss rate, everyone will be unemployed by 2011.

And our consumer credit economy is 70% dependent on us buying stupid shit we don't need.

But if you don't have a job, you can't get that bad-ass $2000 limit 18% APY Capital One card, so how the fuck we gonna borrow our way out of this debt mutha-fucking black-hole, bitch!

Hallelujah!!

Oh yes, the dollar continues it's collapse which temporarily props up all asset prices, so when you sell your US stocks, do not sit in US dollars. Buy gold, or sit in other currencies, or high yielding foreign shares.

Stay long US equities and the next leg down will wipe you out.

That's all. Enjoy your day.

CIT: Too Not-Goldman To Bail

US Markets have reached their highest level of 2009 absurdity.

We are completely out of US stocks and taking some profits abroad. Some of our clients are up enormously and we are strongly suggesting hedging to all of them.

How bizarro world have things become? How disconnected are Markets from reality? Well, I would suggest even more so than last year at this time.

And since I'm generally lazy, here is what I wrote 1 year ago today, word for word (with added visuals) and the market at 11,239.

Because, amazingly (or not) nothing fundamental has "CHANGED", besides a few trillion in US taxpayer liabilities.

In short, get out of US stocks.

And enjoy:

Wednesday, July 16, 2008
Warning: This is a Finance Post
Yes, your eyes will surely glaze over, but here we go. Just a little FYI: Did anyone tell you we are in a full blown financial crisis. No, good, let me.

Background: We've had 25 years of massive, and I mean massive credit expansion, a raging bull market starting in roughly 1980 that went parabolic in '95 and is now reversing hard, unwinding in a major way.

What has prompted me to actually start writing about it is that we have people making it worse, thinking they're making it better. Barry Ritholtz explains it best here: If this fucking link doesn't work, Google his latest Seeking Alpha piece (Fed Fiddles as Rome Burns).

Anywells, our "officials" are now trying to somehow short circuit the short sellers, which prompted a massive rally today in the worst companies on the board -the banks. I can't go into how ridiculous this is, other than to say: government intervention rallies based on ending short selling are to be sold short, preferably naked.

And yes, "naked shorting" is actually a (great) finance term, Yeah, we're talking stocks here, I warned you already about that, did you look at the title? That said if you are sitting at home and decide to buy Puts with no pants on, more power to you. And if you're standing nude in the middle of your trading floor, you are way too cool to be reading this blog.

So the question is: do you want the band-aid off fast or would you like it to take 8 fucking years. We've chosen the latter, so guess what, you cannot be long stocks or buy a house for any reason other than wanting to light hundred dollar bills on fire until around 2012 which I think is when the world ends anyway.

Here it is. We need the market to clear. That means we need the indexes down hard, we need several of the dumbest banks to fail, we need Paul Volcker to come in and jack rates, end inflation and sure up the plummeting dollar.

The guys in charge now are so compromised, so lacking in credibility, yet they keep tinkering around trying to plug holes where there are none, because guess what?

THERE'S NO MORE DAM, it's gone baby gone, you (we) are so under water, and messing around with short sellers, trying to bail out another I-bank, socializing risk is both prolonging the pain and making it worse.

But they will continue to take asinine steps like they did today because it's in their DNA. It's the strand known as the: Let's Keep Fucking Around With This Hand-Grenade Gene.

So tinker on, play politics, help out your idiot banker friends, you might get few hundred more points, maybe even a thousand, hell anything's possible, you may even get another bubble. Tinker on my friends, you cannot help yourselves, I know.

But, one thing is certain. This tinkering. . .will end in tears.

Bank of America Accepts California IOUs As You Accept Bank Of America's IOUs In Never Ending Escher Economy Death Spiral

I'll be back, we gave you the California BK warning on October 14th which gave you 8+ months to sell your municipal bonds. If you did not, please go cry in the corner.

But good of BofA to accept worthless IOU paper from us, as the US taxpayer (which includes a few Californians) accepted the worthless mortgage paper they wrote in exchange for TARP funds -soon to be worthless.

Luckily we have the US Treasury printing presses running full speed printing what will soon be worthless paper such that BofA can pay their executives top dollar, such that we can finally form a Zimbabwe like economy, based on the three new US economic pillars of:

1) money printing
2) obesity
3) cash for clunkers

And thank you to TARP banks JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs for buying up spot oil and putting the barrels on tankers in storage to earn the spread between spot and futures, thereby squeezing supply and increasing the price of gasoline, taxing the US citizen twice, one enormous nation-killer tax called TARP and one just really fucking annoying tax called Exxon.

Thank goodness we saved you!

Carry on here, nothing to see.